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This is a selection made from among articles on Commodity+trading. For a permanent link to this article, or to bookmark it for future reading, click here.

The Truth Behind Futures Trading

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More and more traders are opting to enter the futures trading market because of the possibility of high rewards. And this is true, because futures trading does have a lot to offer compared to other trading schemes.



However, the lure of big returns often overshadows the risks and realities linked with this type of trade. It is for this reason that a lot of traders fall into major losses -- because they focused too much on the good to try to overcome and get around the bad.



There are two basic truths to futures trading. One is that market movements are very difficult to predict and monitor and the other is that losing is a natural part of the game. If you don't get these two into your head at the onset of your trading frenzy, then you might encounter shock when twists of fate happen.



Realize that trading futures is not a set and perfect deal. There ARE risks involved, as well as pitfalls. Getting yourself prepped from the very start will make the pain of losing money easier to bear and will allow you to make intelligent guesses as to where the market is headed next.



Market turns are sporadic and impossible to accurately forecast



There are many analysts and experts in the financial market that offer guidances or outlooks based on different market movements. This practice has become so prevalent that traders often mistake these forecasts as truths and anchor their decisions on them.



This is where the problem lies. The truth is that markets' future actions can never be predicted, because something, somewhere is bound to happen at the very last minute and turn everything around and upside down.



Some traders trade futures carefully, fully knowing that a problem could arise at intermittent times. However, there are some that move on hope. They 'hope' that what the 'experts' predict will become reality and force themselves to hold on, even when alarm bells are already ringing in their ear.



When you really think about it, has there ever been a time in person's life, not just his financial business, where a future occurence has been predicted with ease and accuracy? There has been none. And this goes out also to futures trading.



Losing is part of the game



While futures trading holds the promise of a massive win, it can also spiral you down to a major loss. As with any risky business, there are winners and there are losers.



Sometimes you're up and sometimes you're down. This is a reality that you have to deal with before you step into the world of futures trading. If you come in expecting to win all the time, then you're in the wrong system.



Futures trading is a gamble. While you will be able to make intelligent guesses as to whether the market will be moving in your favor or not, you will most definitely not be able to see what happens until it actually happens.



Once you are able to accept this fact, you will be able to concentrate on making trends depending on the trends you've noticed in the market. Because over the long haul, your knowledge of market movements, no matter how inaccurate, will still lord over having to depend on other people's predictions to determine your next move.





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Traders Renew Appetite for Risk as Obama Names Treasury Secretary - International Business Times


Maktoob

Traders Renew Appetite for Risk as Obama Names Treasury Secretary
International Business Times, NY - 11 hours ago
James A. Hyerczyk is a registered Commodity Trading Advisor with the National Futures Association. He has been actively involved in the futures markets ...
Dollar Rises on Speculation Investors Buying Safest US Assets Bloomberg
Misguided Risk Aversion Contrarian Profits
CAD: BoC Carney Signals Further Rate Cuts Global Forex Trading
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3rd UPDATE: Harkin Seeks To Force Derivatives Onto Exchanges - CNNMoney.com


3rd UPDATE: Harkin Seeks To Force Derivatives Onto Exchanges
CNNMoney.com - Nov 20, 2008
In forcing them to be traded this way, it would grant the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission sole regulatory jurisdiction. ...
Harkin bill would restore US financial system Southeast Farm Press
Bill Introduced That Would Require Trading of All Contracts on ... Farm Futures
Harkin offers bill to reform trading of swaps Oil & Gas Journal
Pork Magazine - Wall Street Letter
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US Stocks Gyrate as Citigroup Concern Offsets Commodity Rally - Bloomberg


Reuters

US Stocks Gyrate as Citigroup Concern Offsets Commodity Rally
Bloomberg - 15 hours ago
The S&P 500 was trading for 20.7 times earnings when Greenspan gave his warning and its valuation climbed to as high as 62.9 in March 2002, according to ...
Stocks Back In ‘Test Support’ Mode; VIX Shoots Up Barron's Blogs
US market returns to 1997 Crikey
US shares sink The Age
Bloomberg
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Brazil Stocks Trading in US Slide on Commodities; Vale Drops - Bloomberg


Brazil Stocks Trading in US Slide on Commodities; Vale Drops
Bloomberg - Nov 20, 2008
The UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Index of 26 commodities fell to the lowest since it began trading in October 1987. Vale slid 4.7 percent to $9.55. ...

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Top Traders Still Expect the Cash - Wall Street Journal


Top Traders Still Expect the Cash
Wall Street Journal - Nov 18, 2008
But the firms' little-publicized commodity-trading desks could add perhaps as much as $1.5 billion to each firm's 2008 bottom line, say people familiar with ...

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